Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.640396 1.887060 2.149718 2.449308 2.780614 3.134849 3.541285
2025-02-09 1.184380 1.522967 1.914199 2.395214 2.966005 3.616971 4.410521
2025-02-16 0.873888 1.248967 1.716424 2.330805 3.105192 4.036732 5.228818
2025-02-23 0.688876 1.084491 1.612042 2.346448 3.319904 4.542645 6.168620
2025-03-02 0.537969 0.931013 1.490206 2.311270 3.450056 4.935839 6.977968
2025-03-09 0.441942 0.834421 1.426349 2.336911 3.649547 5.417273 7.913592
2025-03-16 0.358587 0.739067 1.346868 2.324553 3.785888 5.812054 8.744377
2025-03-23 0.315488 0.700748 1.346541 2.423916 4.081572 6.433281 9.902239
2025-03-30 0.275714 0.659747 1.334506 2.500149 4.343088 7.013846 11.022876
2025-04-06 0.225741 0.588628 1.261112 2.468503 4.434720 7.349794 11.807373
2025-04-13 0.194117 0.546941 1.232293 2.504487 4.628913 7.839274 12.824419
2025-04-20 0.165336 0.504603 1.195777 2.521852 4.791148 8.284134 13.788352
2025-04-27 0.141427 0.468906 1.169139 2.557450 4.990917 8.803942 14.897712
2025-05-04 0.116799 0.425119 1.120500 2.548893 5.117157 9.217322 15.866671
2025-05-11 0.093271 0.376884 1.054923 2.501344 5.172420 9.520153 16.677890
2025-05-18 0.078869 0.349394 1.029328 2.526556 5.353154 10.027441 17.817179
2025-05-25 0.063365 0.312874 0.977123 2.492961 5.425523 10.359914 18.692863
2025-06-01 0.053758 0.291795 0.957283 2.521754 5.609730 10.879351 19.874040
2025-06-08 0.043847 0.265416 0.919819 2.509315 5.715666 11.270719 20.861318
2025-06-15 0.040011 0.260806 0.937095 2.615077 6.047646 12.052366 22.494604
2025-06-22 0.035682 0.252434 0.943075 2.696090 6.335704 12.767659 24.037945
2025-06-29 0.028455 0.227607 0.899808 2.662573 6.400091 13.100080 24.965003
2025-07-06 0.024302 0.214948 0.888622 2.700773 6.605687 13.682588 26.316232